Dr. Karl Kruszelnicki, errs when he says the 2015 Intergenerational Report (IGR) doesnot deal with Australian Climate. It does. (See for instance page 42 of the report.)
What the IGR does not deal with at all is the economic impact of the growing influence of Islam in Australia and its great resistance to women being in our workforce. The potential for home grown terrorism recognised a decade ago by our Federal Government and the impact of Australia being 20% Muslim during the life of the Report.
A core 40 year issue addressed in the IGR is
Australia’s female participation rates remain lower than some other advanced economies such as Canada and New Zealand, and more can be done to encourage women to enter and stay in the workforce. Policies that help to continue to boost female participation will help Australia achieve an even higher level of future prosperity. (IGR page ix)
The 2015 Intergenerational Report presents what could happen to Australia over the next 40 years based on a detailed analysis of recent trends and existing policy settings. The report is broken up into a number of sections which consider different aspects of the outlook—Australia’s population, our labour force, the economy, the budget, the environment and what governments can do to address the challenges of the next 40 years. (page xxiii IGR)
Australia’s population is projected to grow at 1.3 per cent per year, which is slightly below the average growth rate of the past 40 years. If this were to occur, the population would reach 39.7 million in 2054-55, up from 23.9 million today. (page viii IGR)
The IGR has failed to consider the increase in the influence of Islam in Australia
In 1971 there were 22,000 Muslims in Australia, this figure amounted to 0.2% .
201,000 in the 1996 census, 281,600 in 2001, 340,000 in 2006 and 476,300 in 2011.
It is reasonable to conclude that since 2011 the figure has risen to something like 500,000 or about 2.09% of the current 2015 general population. An increase of over ten times in the last Forty years.
If the proportion Muslims in Australia continues to increase at the same rate over the next Forty Years – the term of the IGR 40 year projection – that will see the proportion of Muslims in Australia at more than 20% of the population.
The IGR does not address this at all. Not even a passing mention on the economic affect this may have over the next Forty Years.
There are other economic issues. There is statistical evidence of Islamic concentration. The 2011 census registered nearly 15% of the population in Hume (Greater Melbourne) as Muslim. This is more than six times the national average. This proportion is even higher in the New South Wales suburbs of Bankstown (26.2%) and Auburn (42%).
Some people relate the Islamic influence to Australian Home Security. The National Action Plan. In 2005 the Australian Government under Prime Minister John Howard convened the Muslim Community Reference Group for advice on how best to respond to the threat of “home-grown” terrorism. The IGR does not address any need, or budget, to respond to this threat.
The IGR deals in depth with Australia’s female participation rate in the workforce and how that may be developed:
The experience of Iceland, Switzerland, New Zealand, and Canada, all with higher participation rates, demonstrates that further gains can be made, particularly in the female participation rate. Australia’s female participation rate is around 4 percentage Chapter 1: How will Australia change over the next 40 years? (IGRPage 20)
If Australia’s female participation rate reached that of Canada, the Grattan Institute estimate that Australia’s GDP would be a permanent $25 billion higher. (IGR page 21)
Female employment is projected to continue to increase, following on from strong growth over the past 40 years. In 1974-75, only 46 per cent of women aged 15 to 64 had a job. Today around 66 per cent of women aged 15 to 64 are employed. By 2054-55, this is projected to increase to around 70 per cent. (IGR page ix)
The IGR fails to address the needs of Australian women who are strongly under the controlling influence of the Islamists. Australian Islamic enclaves are already developing ...250 cases of under-age marriage (Melbourne) over the past 24 months, ...at least 60 child wives living in south-western Sydney alone....150 women a week, most of whom come from communities where arranged marriages are practiced. “But what we are seeing is only the tip of the iceberg,” she says. ...Pakistani Hazara woman who works with Afghan Hazaras in Melbourne, ... “I would say nearly every Afghan Hazara family in Melbourne is involved in this practice.”
...They are kept prisoners, locked in their husbands’ homes and only allowed out if their mothers-in-law go with them, so they can never seek help.” …...forced marriage is a breach of human rights and a slavery-like practice.” The Australian June 14, 2014.
The IGR fails to provide any insight as to the effect of Australia rising to 20% of Islamic Population over the next 40 years or how this sort of attitude to women will affect us economically.
The IGR addresses future social security benefits needs in some detail:
Assistance to families
The main payments that provide assistance to families are the Family Tax Benefit, Child Care Benefit and Child Care Rebate. Family Tax Benefit is designed to assist low and middle income families with the costs of raising dependent children.
The Government provides funding for childcare to facilitate increased workforce participation of parents, particularly women, and generate community-wide benefits from enhanced child-development. (IGR page 74)
2.2.4 Education and training spending
The Australian Government provides funding for the delivery of education services in schools and the vocational education and training (VET) and higher education sectors to support human capital formation, improved productivity and labour market outcomes, and social opportunity.(IGR page 75)
I do not assert that members of the Australian Islamic Community have a greater draw on Social Security Benefits. I do note that such allegations are rampant in the UK and Europe where it is said to be an Islamic strategy to weaken the host countries economies.
I do wonder why such economic issues are not addressed when the Islamic Community will be up to 20% of Australia in the life of the 40 year report.
The 2013 (Australian) Senate Inquiry
In 2013 there was an Inquiry into Migration and Multiculturalism in Australia by the Parliamentary Joint Standing Committee on Migration, Report March 2013.
The effectiveness of multicultural policy has been called into question in the wake of the terrorist attacks of September 2001, and events in Europe and Bali. The Committee has, as a consequence, received a large number of submissions focussing on what is perceived as a direct threat to Australian values by migration from Islamic countries. ...
Australians laws are not so much Christian or Western, as progressive, this poses a challenge to both conservative forces in Australia and to incoming Islamic peoples whose values may be out of step with the mainstream.
...one in four Australians were uncomfortable with Islam.
This was before Martin’s Place and Charlie Hebdo.
The Australian Federation of Islamic Councils (AFIC) advised that, ... Islam advocates for legal pluralism and accepts all customs of the land, known as the urf, which are valid considerations in interpreting the Koran as long as they do not contravene the principles of Shari’ah. Bluestar’s Dr Mehmet Ozalp, Director, Centre for Islamic Studies and Civilization, confirmed this as a key principle for scholars to take into account when adjudicating on custom for Muslims living in the western world.
With a steeply rising Islamic community, many of whom are prepared to give evidence to an Australian Senate Inquiry that Sharia should take precedence I question why the IGR has not addressed this economic impact.
It is going to be necessary to change and adapt Islam to Australian society instead of the other way around.
Islamification starts slowly and relies on tolerant, politically correct and culturally diverse societies which will agree to agitation for religious rights for Muslims. That seems fair enough. Only then do other components of Sharia creep in. That is why in Countries such as Australia 1.5%, Canada 1.9%, China 1.8%, Italy 1.5 %, Norway, 1.8%. United States 0.6%. where there are fewer than 2% in a particular country Muslims are regarded mostly as a peace loving minority. Not as a threat to other citizens.
At 2% to 5 % they start to target and convert other minority groups. Specially the dissenters, prison populations and disaffected groups. This is where Denmark 2%, Germany 3.7%, United Kingdom 2.7%, Spain 4%, Thailand 4.6% are at. There is a sliding scale so that:
From 5% they will begin to exert an excessive influence compared to their percentage of the population, pushing for laws regarding Halal food. Pressuring supermarket chains to provide Halal food, together with threats for failure to comply. We see this in France 8%, Phillipines 5%, Sweden 5%, Switzerland 4.3%, The Netherlands, 5.5%, Trinidad and Tobago 5.8%. They will also pressure to allow them to rule themselves in their own enclaves under Sharia. These 100% areas already exist in Paris and Britain. No national police enter, and no national courts conduct business. No national schools and no non-muslim religious facilities exist. The children learn only the Koran. Associating with non-muslims means death and Muslim religious leaders exert more power than the State.
Approaching 10% of the country’s population they tend to increase their lawlessness to complain. Non-Muslim statements or resistence results in up-risings, threats, violence – Charlie Hebdo. These events tend to daily occurrences, Guyana 10%, India, 13.4%, Israel 16%, Kenya 10%, Russia 15%.
At 20% plus there will be rioting for next to no reason. The burning of churches and synagogues. Ethiopia 32.8%
If the rate of Islamification of Australia for the last 40 years continues for the next 40 years, the life of the IGR report, Australia will be 20% Islamic by 2055.
No economic aspect of this has been considered in the IGR
At 40% there are wide spread massacres, chronic terror attacks and ongoing militia warfare. Bosnia 40%, Chad 53.1%, Lebanon – 59.7%
At 60% there is unfettered persecution of all other religions and non-believers and non-conforming muslims. Ethnic cleansing and a crippling tax on infidels. Albania 70%, Malaysia 60.4%, Qatar 77.5%, Sudan 70%
After 80% there is daily intimidation and violent Jihad. State run ethnic cleansing. Driving out infidels and moving towards 100%. Bangladesh 83%, Egypt, 90%, Gaza 86.1%, Indonesia 86.1%, Iran 98%, Iraq 97%, Jordan 92%, Morocco 98.7%, Pakistan 97%, Palestine 99%, Syria 90%, Tajikistan 90%, Turkey 99.8% United Arab Emirates, 96%
100% - Supposed World Islamic Peace – everyone is Muslim – Afghanistan 100%, Saudi Arabia 100%, Somalia 100%, Yemen 100%,. Yet still the most radical muslims kill and intimidate the less radical.
The Australian Government Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet. Review of Australia’s Counter Terrorism Machinery. January 2015 (the Review) identifies that
...There are an increasing number of potential terrorists, supporters and sympathisers in our community. and that ... ...There is now an intergenerational dimension, with the families of known terrorists increasingly radicalised and involved....and ... we need to: .... acknowledge that we have entered a new, long-term paradigm of heightened terrorism threat with a much more significant ‘home grown’ element.
While the Review identifies potential terrorists in our community and the home grown element it fails to recognise comparable overseas experiences in Canada and UK in particular which are estimated to be some 10 to 15 years further down the path of Islamisation than Australia is.
No economic aspect of this has been considered in the IGR.
In the words of Professor Julius Sumner Miller. “Why is it so?”